| London Update
January 2007
Crossrail Awaits a Green Signal
East London is a Global Contemporary Art Club
Young Group in the Press
Economic Outlook
Market Comment
Other News
Crossrail Awaits a Green Signal
Crossrail has taken one step further in its
slow progress to being built. The project, which would be the largest public
transport project in London in a century, is an east-west railway that would
pass through tunnels between Paddington and Whitechapel, under Oxford Street,
Farringdon and Liverpool Street, accommodating trains of national mainline
size - considerably larger than those on existing tube lines. In the west,
it will run to Heathrow, with a branch to Maidenhead, Berkshire. In the east,
Crossrail will fork, emerging at Stratford and continuing to Shenfield in
Essex, while the other branch will tunnel to the Isle of Dogs, with a station
on the north side of the Canary Wharf estate, and carry on via Custom House
to Abbey Wood. A station at Woolwich is currently being considered. When completed,
Crossrail will offer a service not unlike the Paris RER lines, with trains
every 4 minutes in the central tunnel. It is considered vital by The City,
planners and Mayor Ken Livingstone to unsnarl London’s congested rail
network, which is already operating at near capacity.

Crossrail has been in planning since 1989.
New railways require an act of Parliament to be passed, and an earlier Crossrail
Bill was rejected there in 1994. Last November, the current Crossrail Bill was
re-introduced to Parliament and is expected to pass later this year, allowing
construction to start. Further in December, the final deadline for objections
passed.
Crossrail has been beset by other problems. There
have been concerns that tunnelling may undermine buildings, and in some areas
like Spitalfields, the construction alone has threatened to overwhelm local
communities. Currently, the biggest outstanding problem is securing funding
- Crossrail will cost over £15 billion, to be met by public and private
funds, and no public commitment to funding has yet been made. However, gains
to the UK economy of £30 billion have been forecast. With London’s
economy set to expand, there is no realistic alternative that offers a solution
to the transport demands forecast. Crossrail would take six or seven years
to construct, and on the current timescale, construction should take place
between 2008 and 2015. With the Crossrail Bill almost certain to get assent,
the chances of this happening are now probably better than evens.
East London is a Global Contemporary Art Club
East London can now claim to be the centre of
London’s contemporary art scene. Of all contemporary art shows listed
in London by newexhibitions.com in January, fifty-six are in the West End,
while sixty are in the East End, clustering in Hoxton and Bethnal Green. These
are largely in private galleries, which are expanding as the global art market
booms. The Arts Council estimates that UK galleries trade £500 million
annually.
The art scene affects a local property market
in several ways. High-profile public venues like the Tate Modern in Southwark
are funded partly as big urban regeneration catalysts. However, regeneration
starts at street level when artists and private galleries move into an area,
often taking over derelict premises to rehabilitate. An art scene makes an
area chic, boosting the local residential market. Finally, art venues attract
support industries from cafés and bars to hotels. Because London is
now second only to New York in the global art market, these amenities service
international dealers as well as tourists.
The traditional home of London’s modern
art market is Mayfair and St James. Cutting-edge YBAs (Young British Artists)
put East London on the map when Damien Hirst curated the Freeze Show in a
Surrey Docks warehouse in 1988. Artists settled in the east when property
was cheap which in turn attracted galleries such as ‘BritArt’
that became an international phenomenon. When Jay Joplin opened his White
Cube gallery in Hoxton in 2000, it confirmed that the serious collectors had
arrived in East London.
Contemporary galleries have since spread out
from Hoxton to Hackney and Bethnal Green, while the Tate Modern is currently
attracting them to Southwark. As contemporary art continues to boom, expect
to see new creative zones stretching up the Kingsland Road into Dalston, while
Bermondsey is well positioned to become a new art hotspot south of the river.
Young Group in the Press
The following articles are available on our website for your perusal:
Economic Outlook
 |
January’s ¼ point rate
rise caught most off guard, but it was intended to reign in inflation.
Yet Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England, this week gave counter
indications, to a group of Birmingham business men. “Looking forward,
some of the factors responsible for the pick up in inflation through
2006 are likely to unwind during 2007. But how quickly and by how much
inflation will fall over the next year or so is difficult to judge.
All I can say is that the Committee’s central view remains that
inflation is likely to fall back in the second half of the year, possibly
quite sharply”. |
 |
The Monetary Policy Committee’s
minutes from this month’s committee meeting showed a significant
difference of opinion and as a result the FTSE rose to its highest level
for 3 weeks. After the central bank decided to raise rates, the minutes
from the meeting have been eagerly awaited by the markets, keen to find
out whether the decision was unanimous, signalling possible further
rises. Most had hoped for 2 members to be opposed to the rise but it
transpired that 4 of the 9 strong panel disagreed with Mervyn King and
his hawks, including the bank’s own economist Charlie Bean. |
Market Comment
 |
According to Miles Shipside, Rightmove’s
commercial director, the average price of a property in the UK is up
0.5% for January, bucking the unexpected rise in rates. He said, “The
reason house prices are defying the gravity of a six year high in interest
rates is because the number of new households is growing by 50,000 a
year, which is more than the supply of new build [properties coming
on to the market]" |
 |
And his sentiments are echoed throughout
the industry, as most market experts continue to stand by their predictions
of price rises this year, despite this recent unexpected rate rise.
Savills, the estate agent and the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors
(RICS) are still confident of 7% rises while Nationwide stick to their
guns over their 5-8% forecast. Milan Khatri, the RICS chief economist,
said: “The decision to raise interest rates was a surprise, but
the RICS was already expecting a further increase in February due to
the continued strength of the economy.” |
Other News
 |
Britain’s smallest property
came onto the market this month - after spending 20 years as a cleaner’s
cupboard this compact and bijous (at 6ft by 12ft, with an extra cupboard
intended to house the bathroom, it is little bigger than a snooker table)
property is located in Cadogan Square, Chelsea, it requires total refurbishment
(unless you want to live in a cleaner’s cupboard) and can be yours
for a cool £170,000, only £2,000 less than the UK national
house price average. |
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At the other end of the spectrum,
a 4,000 sq ft flat in Belgravia recently sold for £12 million
(£3,000 per sq ft), making it one of the most expensive flats
ever sold in the world. According to the agents, “…top notch
interior design included a 52” plasma and a marble lined master
bedroom….” And who says estate agents have no taste! |
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